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Monday, February 27, 2012
Pakistan's first bittersweet Oscar
Massive congratulations are due to those behind the documentary that
won Pakistan's first ever Oscar! They did a brilliant job and deserve many more accolades than they will undoubtedly receive.
You can watch the trailer for Saving Face here It's just a shame and is somewhat bittersweet that it was a
documentary about such inexcusable barbarity. The perpetrators of such vile wickedness deserve no less than the death penalty.
Anything less and they're getting off lightly in my mind. As
part of efforts to cure society of this vile cancer, I think this film should be shown in schools. I think would be a quite
powerful tool in that respect. The cycle of savagery needs to
be broken.
9:04 pm pkt
Upgrading the F-22P
I
was lucky enough to attend AMAN11 last year off Karachi, and spent the day onboard PNS Zulfiquar, the lead ship of the Pakistan
Navy's F-22P/Zulfiquar/Sword Class frigates. Her two active sister-ships, Shamsheer and Saif, were also present. So I got
a good look at the ships both from being onboard and observing them from a distance. I was in two minds about the class before
I went onboard Zulfiquar. By no means was I alone by holding such views, but I thought a few things could have been done differently
to get more out of the design. However, on the whole I was pleasantly surprised by what I saw firsthand. I think they are
good ships. Their crews are well-trained and motivated. They are eager to prove themselves and are proud of serving on what
amount to the first ever new-build major surface combatants to enter Pakistani service. The
requirement was for a good multi-purpose general patrol frigate, and I think Pakistan has acquired a pretty decent all-round
design for what it is that fits this need very well. Even though the F-22P is an evolution of the earlier Jiangwei-II frigate
design, I think it is a good frigate that fits Pakistan's operational requirements fairly well. I do however think that the
design was constrained by the limits of Chinese technology at the time it was finalised, and also the need to get the ships
into service. Therefore, there are some fairly obvious shortcomings in the design and systems, and consequently room for improvement
that shall no doubt be made once they start being cycled through a deep refit. Some things have already been mentioned as
being highly likely, but from what I saw I'd like to give an opinion on possible improvements that can be made. I think it is worthwhile giving a short explanation of the wartime environment in which
Pakistani ships are likely to find themselves first. Pakistani navy warships will find themselves operating in a very high
anti-ship missile threat environment where large numbers of advanced and highly capable subsonic and supersonic anti-ship
missiles can be launched from enemy air, sea, and subsurface platforms. Possible co-ordinated attacks by these enemy platforms
could see the smaller number of Pakistani warships overwhelmed by sheer numbers alone. In this environment Pakistani warships
will have to conduct ASW in search of Indian submarines that will be capable of launching land attack cruise missiles, and
also have a good capability to conduct ASuW. Consequently, they have to have a good defence against these types of threat.
I would therefore generally place ASuW at secondary importance to ASW with regards Pakistani ships for the simple reason that
no one will be expecting Pakistani warships to steam towards a mass of Indian warships (many if not most of which have twice
the number of anti-ship missiles compared to Pakistani surface combatants), and start exchanging salvos of missiles. In such
a scenario Pakistani warships would almost definitely end up getting sunk to the last ship. For that reason it's not a realistic
scenario. A combination of the limited number of Pakistani anti-shipping strike aircraft, surface ships, and especially submarines,
will help to deter Indian surface warships and encourage them to maintain their distance. However, this is not the case for
Indian submarines any more than it is for Pakistani submarines in reverse. We can expect submarines of both nations to be
used quite aggressively. So conducting robust and capable ASW in a high missile threat environment is something Pakistani
ships will have to face, and you can see recognition of that in elements of the F-22P design. It is somewhat reminiscent of
the threat posed to the Royal Navy in the Atlantic at the latter stages of the Cold War, (ASW in a high missile threat environment).
So it's worthwhile to look at how the British responded to the threat in the design of their principal ASW warships of the
period. They came up with the Type-22 Broadsword and later Type-23 Duke Class frigates. So
what can be improved for the F-22P? The rather obvious shortcoming that everyone can see is the SAM armament. Eight FM-90
SAMs with no reloads are not going to do much. The FM-90 probably represents the maximum the Chinese can squeeze out of the
old French Crotale design, which was probably never very good to start off with. The irony to be seen in this regard at AMAN11
was that the PLAN's two Type-054 Jiangkai-I Class frigates were present, and they are armed with the same SAM system. The
crucial difference is that the Chinese ships are larger and are fitted with a reloading system (the hatch of which can clearly
be seen on the deck behind the FM-90 launcher) that carries at least a further 16 missiles. There was simply no room for a
reloading system on the F-22P, so eight SAMs is all it could be fitted with. The maximum engagement range of the FM-90 missile
is 15km according to the manufacturer, CNPMIEC. However, that is for a helicopter target. When you start to examine the figures
for anti-ship missiles the maximum engagement range starts to fall quite markedly to 11km for a subsonic anti-ship missile
and 7km for a supersonic anti-ship missile. Especially with regards supersonic missiles this is really taking a big risk,
because if for whatever reason one SAM misses, there is limited engagement time for another shot, and even more crucially
a very restricted number of SAMs meaning they could soon be exhausted. The
saving grace of the F-22P design, and one which I thought was impressive, is the CIWS fit of two Type-730B systems, atop the
hangar. They are well placed to give fairly robust last-ditch protection against all aerial threats, be they subsonic or supersonic.
This was one of things that intrigued me before my visit, why had the PN opted for the Type-730B CIWS that adopts an ‘off-platform'
approach to the weapon's sensors? Both CIWS mounts are actually controlled by larger, more powerful search and fire control
radars than on the standard Type-730 CIWS. These are visible on the centreline between the two Type-730Bs, and backed up by
an electro-optical sensor ‘ball'. Apparently, this approach allows the CIWS to be controlled by more powerful sensors
and engage threats on either beam with one being controlled by the electro-optical sensor, and the other by the CIWS fire
control radar in case of a saturation attack. When both FCR and electro-optical sensor are controlling one mount the combination
of both types of sensor controlling the fire of the CIWS increases the accuracy of fire as the electro-optical sensor can
more accurately track the 30mm rounds. Though this is very impressive, the CIWS obviously should not be the main defence against
aerial threats, which may very quickly become the case once the eight FM-90 SAMs are exhausted. The CIWS is supposed to be
a last ditch defence against such threats. There is of course the dual purpose AK-176M 76.2mm (an improved Chinese variant
of the Russian AK-176 - which I experienced being fired to good effect during the gunnery trials and was surprisingly loud
from my perch on the bridge wing, and then later the bridge roof). It is quite capable of shooting down missiles, but has
limited capability compared to the CIWS (though admittedly it may be able to do so at a longer range than a CIWS), and even
less so when compared to a SAM. If trying to shoot down an incoming anti-ship missile however, the AK-176M should really be
considered a back up weapon to be used out of desperation in conjunction with other weaponry, rather than something which
can be relied on to fully protect the ship against such threats. If the Chinese built example shares most technical characteristics
of its Russian forebear, it is likely that when fired at its maximum rate of fire it will need a certain period (about half
an hour with the Russian gun) to cool down afterwards. Either way, it is a good piece of kit, so I'm not criticising it. I'm
merely saying in the case of anti-ship missile attack it would very much be a last ditch weapon that was fired in addition
to the CIWS. So what can be done? In the absence of a SAM type from any
other source due to a lack of funds, I think a Chinese option is the only likely candidate at present to replace the FM-90.
The type that has hitherto been mentioned is the HQ-16. The HQ-16 is Chinese development of the Russian SA-N-12 ‘Grizzly',
and by all means the Chinese seem to be quite pleased with it considering it forms the principal AAW armament for its growing
number of Type-054A Jiangkai-II Class frigates. By all accounts it is a capable missile. However, I have my doubts about whether
the HQ-16 is the right choice for the F-22P. It is a fairly large and bulky missile to fit on a frigate the size of the F-22P.
I think at a very maximum it may be possible to fit 16 missiles in a VLS in the space currently taken up by the FM-90 launcher,
but perhaps even that after some considerable ‘surgery' which could see that section of the deck removed entirely to
save weight. I have two concerns however, the number of missiles may be too small, and how can all the associated electronics
and sensors be installed? It is after all not merely a case of fitting the VLS cells into the space provided. I'm sure that
can be done, but all the associated electronics also have to be shoehorned into place. Electronics and associated machinery
are shrinking all the time with technological advancements the way they are going. However, I am currently unsure this can
be done with the complete HQ-16 package to the extent that it can be installed on the F-22P. The other concern I have is numbers.
Even eight HQ-16s would be better than the current FM-90s, but there really needs to be a worthwhile number onboard, and I
don't think 16 SAMs (a number I'm guessing would be technically feasible considering the space available and a roughly approximation
of the space taken up by the HQ-16 VLS on the Type-054As) is really going to be enough. Considering that these can't be reloaded
at sea, a worthwhile weapon load needs to be carried, and I think that is definitely going to be in the region of 32 rather
than 16. In the absence of being able to have 32 HQ-16s on the F-22P
I think other alternatives should be considered. The RIM-162 Evolved Sea Sparrow Missile, (which was itself designed to counter
supersonic threats) would have been ideal, and I think a 32-cell VLS would fit in the available space, plus I don't doubt
that the associated sensors and electronics could be fitted. That obviously isn't going to happen though. The South Africans
have for a while been trying to interest Pakistan in the Umkhonto IR SAM, and even test fired a missile in the presence of
former CNS Admiral Afzal Tahir before he left office. The ability of the Umkhonto IR to cope with supersonic threats is uncertain
however, and the range (approx 12km) is perhaps a bit of a letdown. A more advanced variant (considering the missile continues
to be developed) may still be an option if an alternative isn't found, but it really depends on the performance of the missile
and of course, cost. There may be scope for another Chinese option however, a VLS variant of the PL-12/SD-10. There have been
all sorts of rumours over the years about a VLS variant of the PL-12/SD-10. Initial speculation was that the Type-054A would
be armed with the missile. Obviously that didn't happen, but I think there is scope for such a variant of the PL-12/SD-10.
Despite the considerable Chinese naval expansion, especially the continued construction of Type-054A Class frigates, there
are still 14 Jiangwei series frigates in service (four Jiangwei-I and ten Jiangwei-II). They appear to be currently being
put through an incremental upgrade programme that is seeing the eight round HQ-7 SAM (more likely to be FM-90 or domestic
variant thereof) replacing the six round HQ-61 SAM that was fitted in earlier units. The Jiangwei frigate design, the Type-053H2G/Type-053H3,
formed the basis for the F-22P. So I think there is scope here to interest the Chinese in a VLS variant of the PL-12/SD-10
if it is not already something which is actively being developed. If nothing else, it could also be an export weapon with
which Chinese designed and built frigates could be armed with. Due to
the smaller dimensions and weight of PL-12/SD-10 in comparison to the HQ-16 I think it would definitely be possible to have
a larger number of SAMs installed in a VLS module. I admit I don't know if there would be considerable space and weight penalties
to pay with regards the associated electronics, but I'm guessing there may not be purely on the basis that the LY-60N was
fitted to three of Pakistan's Type-21s, and that weapon system fit was only really constrained by having that huge launcher
in ‘B' position. The associated electronics and systems seem to have been fitted without too much trouble, and considering
the equivalent for the PL-12/SD-10 may be more compact, I think it's reasonable to assume it may not be too difficult to install
the whole PL-12/SD-10 VLS variant package on the Jiangwei and F-22P Class frigates, (or at least I see it as more straight
forward with the latter). How many PL-12/SD-10 missiles could be fitted to the F-22P as a replacement for the FM-90 SAM is
really perhaps something which depends on the type of VLS used, but I don't for a moment doubt that it would be more than
16. However, coupled with larger numbers carried, the faster response time of the PL-12/SD-10 SAM system to supersonic threats,
and perhaps considerably better performance compared to the FM-90 in terms of engagement range and intercept timings, the
SAM shortcomings of the F-22P Class could be rectified. Given the nature
of the anti-ship missile threat however, there is perhaps a further measure that could be taken, and one which can potentially
be carried out more easily, fitting the FL-3000N. I'm unsure of the under-deck requirements for the FL-3000N, but I think
there is scope to fit a 24-cell launcher either on the bridge roof (though I admit that may not be as straight forward as
it seems), or if a PL-12/SD-10-loaded VLS replaces the FM-90 SAM launcher, then in ‘B' position immediately in front
of the VLS, but still on that raised deck (if it can be retained) to give the FL-3000N launcher clearance over the main gun,
(pretty much where the FM-90 launcher is at present, though slightly further forward). In either position, it would give good
forward hemisphere protection in addition to the larger SAMs, AK-176M, and Type-730B CIWS armament. It would add a useful
layer of protection between the PL-12/SD-10 and the Type-730B CIWS, and that for comparatively little increase in weight overall.
The effectiveness of the FL-3000N is perhaps reflected in the fact that we increasingly see it fitted to newer PLAN warship
designs as well as their refitted carrier. So the Chinese at least seem to think it is a mature and capable enough system,
even if it may not be as capable as the latest RIM-116 RAM, (with which it is often compared). At the very least if six of
these lightweight missiles could be fitted to each Type-730B CIWS mount it would give an extra layer of protection for very
little cost. All things considered I think that's probably the most realistic and likely option. However, overall, as time
progresses the chances of a far more capable Chinese-origin SAM system to replace the FM-90 increase, so we will really have
to wait until the F-22Ps start being cycled through deep refits. They are going to serve under the Pakistani ensign for a
very long time (perhaps 30 years or more), so Pakistan will continue to invest in the design to a considerable degree. Connected with the need to replace the FM-90 SAMs, and no less obvious, is the possibility
of replacing the SUR-17 long range air search radar with a modern 3D equivalent. The SUR-17 is the array that looks like a
‘1950s-style TV aerial' on the second mast between the funnel and hangar. It has a range of 310km, but I think it's
fairly obvious that as soon as Pakistan can find a suitable replacement it will be replaced, and indeed it has already been
mentioned, (semi-officially at least). I suppose it would have an effect on the possibility of a newer more capable SAM fit
as any new radar will no doubt be heavier than what it replaces. So there is that to also consider with regards any increases
in overall displacement. We shall see I guess. Anyway, considering the
ASW mission however, could there have been scope to squeeze some more out of the design? The main shipboard ASW sensor is
the hull-mounted Atlas ASO-94 hull-mounted sonar (with an active range of 15km and a passive range of 48km). There is no other
ASW sensor, and there definitely is no Towed Array Sonar (TAS) because the space where it should otherwise be is an open quarterdeck
(which is a nice spot to have a smoke if you are so inclined). This may strike people as a curious omission (considering their
obvious importance with other navies), and I did ask about it. The PN has in the past trialled such TAS, but found that the
local conditions, (where varying degrees of salinity, thermals, and such make ASW very difficult), reduced the effectiveness
of the TAS. I think that may well have been more due to a combination of the TAS that were available at the time, and the
TAS that were available to the PN when they carried out these trials. The capabilities of the British Sonar-2087 TAS demonstrates
that the abilities of such sensors are improving all the time, and in future there may be scope for Pakistan to either procure
a capable enough foreign TAS, or develop one indigenously. Marine Systems Limited developed their ‘Slim-Line TAS', which
is optimised for local conditions, primarily for submarine use. I don't doubt however that given time and investment they
could develop a highly capable TAS for surface warships that is similarly optimised for local conditions. We'll have
to see, but in the meantime the PN thinks it has a reasonably good ASW capability between the shipboard sonar and the ASW
sensors on the Z-9EC. The idea being that between the ship and helicopter, any submarine present in the area can be hunted
down by both platforms acting in concert. This brings me to another point,
if the Z-9EC is so important to this, what happens when it needs to refuel and rearm, or change crews? Under such circumstances
the ship would temporarily lose its most flexible and powerful ASW sensor/weapon. So why not have designed the ship with a
dual hangar for two Z-9ECs? I think visually it would appear there was scope to do that. There is after all a gangway either
side of the hangar that gives you access to the flight-deck from the rest of the ship. If these had been deleted and the hangar
widened, then there may just have been scope for there to have been space for two ASW helicopters. It would perhaps have been
a tight squeeze, but I think it was perfectly possible. There may been consequences for the Type-730B CIWS and associated
sensors on the hangar roof, as I think they penetrate that deck to some degree (though I wasn't able to see firsthand just
by how much even though I did climb up into the flight control position). I think an enlarged hangar and facilities for two
helicopters would definitely have increased the tonnage of the design. It may have pushed right to the limits of the design,
or even past them. After all, other frigates that are equipped to embark two helicopters are somewhat heavier. I think a good
example of modifying an existing frigate to do so is the Indian Godavari Class frigate, which is ultimately a modification
of the British Leander Class. However, even that is heavier by a considerable margin. Either way, it didn't happen. That's
not to say that there is no scope for another alternative. Advances in rotary UAVs/UCAVs are progressing at a considerable
pace, so there is every reason to think that in the future there may be a rotary ship-board ASW UCAV that could allow warships
like the F-22P to increase their ASW footprint and effectiveness. Some
of the above mentioned possible improvements mirror the upgrade programme currently being undertaken for the Royal Australian
Navy's ANZAC Class frigates. They have had a new radar, new missiles (the ESSM), and can have a TAS fitted. Though they are
larger vessels, I don't see why something similar couldn't be undertaken for the F-22P. Perhaps there is scope for some or
all of these improvements mentioned above to be included from the beginning if a second batch of four ‘Improved F-22P'
(or F-23P?) frigates was ordered. The programme could therefore be similar to the British Type-22 frigate (which was designed
for ASW in a high missile threat environment albeit with the Atlantic in mind), in the sense that each batch was an improvement
over the preceding one. I really think this is the project model to follow for the F-22P. So a new ‘Improved F-22P'/‘F-22P
Batch 2' could include all of the above, and perhaps incorporate more stealth features in line with some of the latest developments
in Chinese ship design, (because quite obviously the Chinese would be involved in such an endeavour as it is beyond Pakistan
to do such things on its own at present). We have to take into consideration that the Type-21 frigates will not see out the
decade, and though the navy is hoping to acquire another four Oliver Hazard Perry Class frigates from the US (which I shall
deal with at another time), the PN needs to grow, and is growing. It needs more ships like the F-22P, and considering the
infrastructure has been put in place to build and support such warships the navy should carry on with the project and include
design sensor/weaponry improvements as it goes. Some may disagree and say that the Type-054A (or variant thereof) should be
acquired. Nominally, I would support such an endeavour. However, we have to remember that to even get the four F-22Ps Pakistan
had to ‘go on the scrounge' and get a loan from China. I think therefore that it is more realistic to have a second
batch of F-22Ps, to build on experience with the design, and have a high degree of commonality in the frigate force, than
acquire the Type-054A. As far as the timescale for any potential modifications go, I think we have to be realistic that the
fourth ship in the class, Aslat, will have to commission first, and then an upgrade package developed. At the earliest therefore
we could be talking from the middle of the decade for any such physical work to commence, but realistically I'd say we'd be
looking at the second half of the decade. Sadly that means the F-22Ps will have to soldier on with a far from ideal SAM fit,
but there doesn't to be any other choice at present. However, they are good ships, and Pakistan made the right choice in acquiring
them. I just hope there's no dramatic escalation in tensions between
India and Pakistan before they upgraded.
7:31 pm pkt
Monday, February 13, 2012
It’s about time for a new service rifle
It has been said that decision making
in the Pakistani military is comparatively quicker than in some other developing country's militaries. That may be true in
some cases, but definitely not in the case of selecting a new service rifle. The Pakistan Army's official rifle is the Heckler
& Koch G3 series of rifles, which to be honest are ancient. They were good for what they were in their day, but they're
not suitable for the modern battlefield and the Army's own combat experience in the Frontier Areas fighting the Taliban has
shown that to be true. Chambered for the 7.62x51mm NATO cartridge, it simply fires too powerful a round to be able to be controllable
on fully automatic fire, which was exactly the case with its contemporary, the FN FAL series of rifles. It is also too long
(making it difficult for mechanised infantrymen to comfortably deploy from APCs, and also to use effectively during close
quarter battle/FIBUA situations where fully automatic or burst fire may be required), and too heavy (therefore making carrying
the weapon tiring, and that is before anyone starts to think of adding under-barrel grenade launchers, holographic or thermal
sights and such). Apparently it doesn't take too kindly to being used at high altitudes either, which is another problem because
along with the G3, the military also uses the NORINCO Type-56, therefore adding to the logistics and cost of equipping frontline
troops.
So there needs to be a change, but to what? Some more senior officers seem to be wedded to the idea of the power of the 7.62x51mm NATO
round, but they're not the ones who have to carry the rifle around and use it. So in response to the above criticisms they
came up with the POF G3S. A lot of people got very excited when they saw the G3S last year. Here's a reasonably good picture (and take the opportunity to read through the comments below because some of the people posting
do seem to have shooting experience). It is a fairly compact 7.62x51mm weapon, capable of being fitted with various sights
and an UBGL, so in theory it's a way of getting the most out of the current G3. It isn't the first time POF have tried to
solve the idea of a new battle/assault rifle. They have previously come up with the PK7, which is a weapon they developed
from experience with the G3 family, but which fires the 7.62x39mm Soviet round, and uses an AK-47 type magazine. It's pretty
interesting, but I was told by a POF rep' that it was mainly intended for police forces and such, and it wasn't really a weapon
intended for military use, (at least not in Pakistan). At the same time they unveiled the PK8, which is basically a G3 chambered
to fire the smaller 5.56x45mm NATO round, and I guess in a lot of cases isn't much different from the HK33, which dates from
the 1960s. I've handled, but not fired it. I'd say it was roughly comparable to the M16A2, but whether it performs as well
is not something I'm privy to, (and I did try and ask such questions at the time, but the person I was talking to seemed to
know less than I did; so I didn't get very far sadly). Some PK8s seem to have been produced (I saw some that had been issued
to a politician's guards in Balochistan a while back), but it doesn't look like the PK8 is going to enter military service
in any large numbers either. It seemed like a pretty decent rifle, and if they had come up with it in the 1980s or 1990s I
think it would have been worthwhile to adopt it. I think it's too late now though because requirements have changed, and it
will be too front-heavy if they start adding all the extras that have been stated as requirements in a new firearm. So we go back to the G3S again. I don't think this is what is needed. I don't think this
is the answer to the requirement for a new service rifle, and to be honest I don't know why it even took this long to come
up with a G3S prototype. I'm sure a half decent armourer could have done that to a normal G3A3/G3A4 in the space of an afternoon.
Anyway, it is compact, and it is cut down, but it doesn't really strike me as a very light weapon, so it will be tiring to
heft around. It's also firing too powerful a round again seeing as they stuck with 7.62.51mm round. The recoil will make it
as difficult to handle as the current G3A3/G3A4 rifles, if not more so. It isn't even a new idea considering that Heckler
& Koch also produced the G3KA4 carbine, and the British a similar variant, the MC51. So merely being compact isn't the
answer. There has to be a change in calibre to make it more controllable in fully automatic fire. There is a reason that nearly
every other military on the planet that is able to has shifted to a smaller calibre, and even some Pakistani military units,
especially those that can choose their own weaponry have chosen various firearms that chamber the 5.56x45mm round. You can
carry a lot more rounds for a start, but the full range of benefits for switching to the smaller NATO round has been covered
ad nauseum in many other places, so I'll skip giving a run down here. There are other intermediate rounds out there. The Chinese
have developed the 5.8x42mm, the Russians the 5.45x39mm, and American companies' rounds like the 6.8x43mm Remington SPC and
6.5x39mm Grendel. They are all perfectly good rounds, but there isn't really an option for Pakistan if it wants to change
to a smaller calibre because the choice has already been made. Various branches of the military already use the M4 carbine,
the M16, the Steyr AUG, FN F2000, and there may even be a couple more firearms chambered for this round in use. So it's not
really a case of ‘which round?' The Pakistani military has already made the choice; therefore it's now a case of ‘which
rifle?' I think at this point it is a perhaps a good idea to respond
to one criticism made of the 5.56x45mm round, that is lacks stopping power at longer ranges in comparison to the 7.62x51mm
round. It's true, it does. However, what has to be taken into account that there has been a shift towards carbine weapons
like the M4, which have sacrificed barrel length in order to reduce the overall dimensions of the weapon. Cutting down on
the length of the barrel reduces the muzzle velocity which over longer ranges reduces the effectiveness of the 5.56x45mm round.
Research on newer 5.56x45mm rounds has been undertaken to reduce this, but it really seems that it's best not to cut down
the length of the barrel if there are going to be situations where you will need accuracy and stopping power over longer ranges.
(This has been the criticism of the M4 and how the shortened barrel in relation to its forebear the M16 has resulted in these
problems). The army has found itself in these situations from deserts to more mountainous regions. Even some Afghan tribesmen
quite like hanging on to their old Lee Enfield .303 bolt action rifles simply because some of the terrain they live in means
they can snipe at their enemies from long ranges, and they have traditionally been very good shots. So the army needs a weapon
that has a good effective range, and that pretty much rules out a carbine. I'd also rule against a carbine for a number of
other reasons as well. Once you start putting on UBGLs, and various torches, scopes, and laser pointing devices, you end up
with quite a front-heavy weapon, which means soldiers carrying it will tire fairly easily as it is unbalanced. There are good
carbines out there to be had. The M4 carbine is obviously already in service with Pakistani forces, but others like the Heckler
& Koch HK416 (which was developed from the M4 anyway), are certainly more reliable, but in my mind don't meet the requirements
of the army. So if not a carbine what else? There are certainly some
very good new full length 5.56x45mm calibre rifles available. The obvious one is the Heckler & Koch G36, which is a superb
rifle in every respect with good effective range, but isn't really much smaller in length than the G3. Remember, if the army
needs a compact weapon for CQB/FIBUA that can carry UBGL, sights, scopes, laser pointers etc, then a full sized rifle perhaps
isn't the best choice even if it is of 5.56x45mm calibre. There are others of course. The Taiwanese T91 (assuming some could
be ‘acquired' for reverse manufacturing - seeing as Pakistan is hardly likely to obtain any directly) is also a superb
weapon, and very reliable in dusty environments as well, which is another major requirement for any firearm that Pakistan
would consider. For those of us who have experienced the deserts of Pakistan we know anything susceptible to problems arising
from excessive dust would be pretty much pointless. The FN SCAR is a brilliant rifle, but would probably be too expensive
to procure, and again, it's too long. Its modular construction which allows conversions to other calibres is a very good idea
though, and we shall return to that point. What seems to be clear from
the requirements at hand is that what is needed is a bullpup rifle. Not everyone is convinced of course, which is why all
armies haven't switched over to bullpup rifles. However, if you want a compact weapon easily deployable from an APC and to
manipulate in CQB/FIBUA, with good effective range from having a long barrel when engaged in fighting over longer distances,
that won't become unbalanced and difficult or tiring to carry because the front end is weighed down by a UBGL, scopes/sights,
torches and laser pointers, you basically need a bullpup rifle and nothing else. Not only could a good bullpup rifle replace
the G3, and Type-56, but also the Heckler & Koch MP5, as that would do away with the need to have a separate 9mm weapon
for officers and for some instances of CQB/FIBUA. It would definitely help with logistics to do that, and in carbine variant
a bullpup rifle could be used to equip helicopter, transport, and AFV crews. There are some very good bullpup rifles available,
and I think they should be considered. However, first we should look at the two already in service. The Steyr AUG is in service
with the Marines as well as Type-56 and G3, (I handled all three when I visited Manora Island a few years ago). It's a pretty
flash looking rifle and the Marines like the idea that it apparently has reserve buoyancy and can therefore float (I wasn't
entirely sure myself but if they say so I wasn't going to argue). It's already been approved in a sense seeing as it is already
in service. It is compact and you can attach all the extras that the army has previously mentioned as being required. It is
also of modular construction allowing you to change barrel lengths and calibres. It's well balanced, fully ambidextrous (after
some adjustments), and on the face of it ideal. Except it has some major shortcomings. It is quite old now, though I don't
think that in itself should be classed as a shortcoming. The criticisms I have are, its poor effective range, when stripped
it has some very small parts that can get lost quite easily, and it's a little too easy to accidentally loosen off a round.
So much so that Australian soldiers are purposefully trained to pick it up with their non-master hand. So it may be good for
the Marines in the marshes and creek areas, but I don't think it's suitable for the rest of the military. So we'll rule out
the Steyr AUG. The FN2000 has also been preapproved, and by the SSG no less. I can only really think of three criticisms for
the FN2000. It might actually be too expensive for the Pakistani military to replace its G3 and Type-56 inventory with this
weapon. We are after all talking about a huge number of weapons here, far in excess of any orders that it has secured so far,
which have mainly, but not entirely, been restricted to special forces units. I also don't know if FN Herstal will allow for
it to be produced by POF, which quite frankly without a license production agreement would kill the prospect of being selected.
Perhaps if POF were to negotiate a deal to produce the FN Minimi Para LMG (which is also in service in small numbers with
the Pakistani military - and I don't think we really need look further for a 5.56x45mm calibre LMG) to partially replace the
Heckler & Koch MG3 in the infantry role (as it is a big and unwieldy weapon that can't be fired from the hip - though
it should still be kept in the support role), then I think it may be a sufficiently big enough deal for FN Herstal to agree.
However, the main performance criticism I have of the FN2000 is that I think its effective range should be a little longer.
I think this is primarily the result of it having a slightly shorter barrel than some other rifles, but I think it makes a
difference. It's still a brilliant weapon, but I think it's let down in that respect. So
let's look a few bullpup rifles that may be easily available (there are of course a lot out there, but I'm deliberately keeping
the number examined confined to those that can realistically be considered). I think the South African Vektor CR-21 is roughly
comparable to the FN2000. It's not ambidextrous, which may count against it. It doesn't really seem to have been bought by
anyone either. This isn't necessarily something which should rule it out, but it is a good sign if it has been received well
internationally in the form of export sales. Unfortunately the CR-21 hasn't even been purchased by the South Africans themselves,
(probably because they have no money). A full evaluation in Pakistan and talking about unit cost and production and such should
decide on its suitability, but the South Africans know how to make good guns, and the CR-21 is by no means a poor weapon.
The Chinese have of course produced the QBZ-97A and variants thereof, which would definitely be available for domestic production.
It's a fairly light and compact weapon, but I'm unsure about the effective range. There has also been speculation that the
Chinese themselves are not entirely happy with the variant they have in service. Again, I think a full evaluation in Pakistan,
especially to establish the effective range of the QBZ-97A and its ergonomics would answer any questions that may hang over
it. However, simply in respects of availability and affordability I don't think it can be discounted, and I think it should
be seriously considered. I think the commercially available firearm which ticks nearly all the boxes though, is probably the
Singaporean SAR-21A. I think apart from the fact it isn't ambidextrous, it meets all other requirements. It may be a little
heavy (though being a bullpup rifle it would still be well balanced if lots of attachments were added), but it is compact,
and should be able to handle Pakistani requirements very well. I don't think Singapore would decline such a massive deal with
Pakistan even if they have been closer to the Indians militarily and commercially, but I definitely think it's worth exploring. The only other alternative I can think of is a domestically designed bullpup rifle which
would not only at least match all the qualities of the above bullpup rifles (or at least the FN2000 and SAR-21A), but also
have a modular configuration allowing it to be adapted for different calibres similar to the FN SCAR (for export reasons according
to customers requirements, and if required to the 7.62x51mm round for sniping and/or an LMG on a heavier barrelled variant
like the British L86A1 LSW - which is still a 5.56x45mm weapon but is being used for sniping or longer range harassment fire
in Afghanistan). I definitely think it's possible for POF to design a capable bullpup rifle. I think it's mainly a case of
someone recognising the need and putting the money forward for R&D. If nothing else they could use the PK8 as a basis
for a bullpup rifle, because it's not as if rifles like the G3 and FN FAL/SLR haven't been modified into a bullpup configuration
by others, even if they never went into production. It all depends on somebody with drive and forethought at POF to be honest.
So we'll see what they come up with. I only hope it isn't the G3S...
5:31 pm pkt
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This site is intended to grow, but just expect it to do so at
a lightening fast pace.
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